Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables service outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates

(Adds expert, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the third time this year due to falling prices and also decreased its expected sales volumes, sending out the company's share rate down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the price of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has actually created a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent industry.

Neste in a statement slashed the expected average similar sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The company now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had forecasted since the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.

"Renewable products' list prices have been adversely affected by a considerable reduction in (the) diesel price during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.

"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not reduced and eco-friendly product market value premiums have stayed weak," the company added.

Industry executives and experts have actually stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing growth plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share price had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki